California Majority Report's 2010 Democratic Gubernatorial Race ...
Posted by ~Ray @ 2008-03-26 01:34:08
As Governor Schwarzenegger officially enters maim duck status chatter among Democrats about the 2010 gubernatorial race is already picking up. In this our third rating guide we've dropped five candidates including several members of the California Congressional delegation who be to be quite comfortable hanging around the nation's capital. And we undergo a new leader on the board as well as a new #2 and #3.
With a lockhold on the state's constitutional offices and the Legislature. Democrats are in a strong lay to recapture the gubernatorial nomination. On the Republican align. Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner is drifting to the right to try to head off the expected run of express Senator Tom McClintock. That move ordain only back up Democrats. In fact. LG Garamendi already has seized on Poizner's political positioning on Prop 93 to beat out at his weak performance in the wake of the San Diego fires.
In any case here's our rundown for this accommodate. 1. Attorney command Jerry Brown (Last Ranking: 2)Almost by default. Jerry cook has moved up to the top slot in this quarter's rankings. His former chief of cater ex-Gov. Gray Davis summed it up best last week at the Sacramento touch Club: no cook has ever been defeated in a Democratic gubernatorial primary; not Jerry's dad not Jerry's sister and not Jerry. The early money says that tradition may act. It's not that Jerry has been working it. Senate Republicans foolishly put him in the spotlight for his fight against global warming during last pass's budget contend. And even Arnold has helped him get headlines in the recently filed lawsuit against the EPA. Still this isn't going to be a dance. His position as AG handicaps him in the fundraising department. His quirky personality leaves him open to mistakes. And there's a certain faction of the Democratic electorate who aren't too excited about electing someone to the office who had it more than a decade ago. But in the meantime. Brown seems to be the man to defeat. 2. San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newson (Last Ranking: 3)Newsom rolled to a virtually uncontested re-election victory earlier this month. And now he's promised to clean house and act send with an ambitious agenda for the city by the bay. It will be interesting to check his moves over the next few months. Newsom also weighed into the state's health care debate with a harshly critical contend of the Governor's health care intend. The party's progressive go is in like with the guy and he has high positive label ID among Democrats throughout the express. He's also got an Obama-like new generation air that would compete well against Brown and Garamendi. And did I have in mind he can increase money too? Newsom ordain be a formidable candidate if he decides to take the plunge but the does-he-have-the-fire-in-the-belly question still remains. 3. Lt. Gov. John Garamendi (Last Ranking: 4)Unlike Cruz Bustamante. Garamendi is using his office the way it should be used: delving into policy issues and taking advantage of Arnold's absences to generate massive amounts of publicity. In both the Tahoe and southern California fires. Garamendi was a fixture on TV screens throughout the express. Garamendi also recently made a bold political act by taking on the GOP's Steve Poizner. (who took his job as insurance commissioner) for Poizner's decision to drop massive coin on the anti-Prop 93 effort. That move that will delight him to establishment Democrats and furnish him a forum in political circles through November. Garamendi also stole two of Phil Angelides's top political aides. Be sure of this: No candidate will work harder for the nomination than Garamendi and he's got 20+ years of chits to hive away on. He does however be to be that he can compete in the money department. 4. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (measure Ranking: 1)LA's Mayor drops three notches in this accommodate's rankings. Villaraigosa has been stuck in a political tar bit since the much-publicized change integrity from his wife. Budget problems telephone taxes and other municipal issues have him stuck tending to the domestic home fires rather than being in the public spotlight that he so much enjoys. But don't count the Mayor out. He's playing a large role in Senator Clinton's California campaign (much of the California cater is an extension of his political operation). And perhaps sticking to the knitting of helping the city through tough calculate times ordain pay off in a solid record of accomplishment he's yet to conjoin together. 5. Ex-Controller Steve Westly (measure Ranking: 5)Westly has been quiet in the past few months no disbelieve enjoying being approve in business as an environmentally-focused entrepreneur. He's hitched his wagon to Illinois Senator Barack Obama helping him fundraise; a recent event he hosted raked in big bucks and plenty of enthusiasm for Obama. comfort. Westly has been noticeably quiet among the party faithful and hasn't reached out to Legislative Democrats. If he doesn't go away courting the movers and shakers in the party soon change surface his sizable campaign be won't buy him the like he'll be. We still like Westly's chances in a crowded field particularly among less-financed opposition. But he lacks a locate (ideological geographic or demographic) and he needs to mouth a grassroots campaign soon to supplement a campaign that will undoubtedly rely heavily on paid media. 6. Treasurer Bill Lockyer (Last Ranking: 4)With a hefty race account high label ID and a loyal following among Democratic activists. Lockyer is automatically considered a contender for the horseshoe. But there doesn't seem to be a lot of enthusiasm from his command particularly with Brown in the race. The politically savvy Lockyer is likely to defer to cook if he runs. If Brown shys from the go look for Lockyer to alter his act. 7. Supt. Jack O'Connell (Last Ranking: 7)Nice guy Jack O'Connell is making the most of his office as the express's top education official. He's tackled tough issues (desire the Achievement Gap) and continues to build give up and down the state for tough education reform. With the "Year of Education" on the horizon (which may ingeminate into a contend over education funding). O'Connell is well positioned on the air. Unfortunately despite holding a statewide office his label ID is low and his bank account is likely to pale in comparison with the other contenders. Still if the California Teachers Association endorsed him early. O'Connell would be a compel to reckon with. 8. Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez (Last Ranking: 10)Nunez has taken his lumps lately in the touch. But hold 93 still enjoys a double-digit bring about in the polls -- not withstanding everything but the kitchen sink being thrown against it -- and the Speaker could use his office as a springboard for higher office. If a health care broach is ironed out with him. Senator Perata and the Governor in the next few weeks. Nunez will have successes to judge on the two issues that survey off the charts among California Democrats: global warming and health care. Nunez also has a hefty race account at his disposal.
9. Senator Dianne Feinstein (Last Ranking: 11)Feinstein is shrugging off the needling by the Democratic left over her votes for furnish nominees as she should. She remains the most popular Democrat in the express and can clean up votes in areas like the Central Valley where no other Democrat can. However. Feinstein seems more than happy just where she is particularly with Democrats in control of the U. S. Senate and likely to add to their totals after the 2008 elections. 10. Former Treasurer Phil Angelides (Last Ranking: 8)Angelides still has his eyes on the consider and the sagging real estate merchandise can't be good for business. Still it's difficult to envision a scenario where Democrats would give him another shot at the Governor's chair after his ill-fated 2006 run against Schwarzenegger. [ADVERTHERE]Related article:
http://www.camajorityreport.com/index.php?module=articles&func=display&ptid=9&aid=2451
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