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Whenever a big MMA separate rolls around I always undergo to check the betting lines.  It's strange really especially when you consider that I've never made a bet on an MMA contend except with friends (still think Hughes was a good pick over GSP. Matt Powers?  Sucker.) As something of an industry insider or at the very least industry nerd. I feel like I should be able to choose fights better than the Vegas handicappers at least some of the measure.  When the IFL went to Vegas for dilate there were lines on some of our fighters who I'm sure the handicappers had never seen in the ring before. And yet when I looked at the lines for that event they all seemed pretty accurate.  That is even if I thought that an underdog might win the lie wasn't good enough to alter the risk worth it.  Which is how betting odds work when you think about it.  I guess my grandfather was alter: they don't create all those big casinos from populate winning. It's hard for me to understand why Jackson is the betting favorite here unless it's owing to so many MMA fans putting money on him because they can't bequeath anything past six months ago. I just can't see how Jackson might win this one.  Hendo is nearly impossible to KO and he's excellent on the ground so a submission is out of the challenge.  The only explanation I can come up with is Henderson's relatively poor record against 205-pounders.  Then again. "act" isn't exactly on par with the Nogueria brothers. My pick: Henderson.  change surface so the betting lie isn't good enough.  +110 means laying down a hundred bucks gets you a hundred and ten and it's not out of the challenge for "act" to land one big hit and get lucky. Save your money and put it toward something useful like an Affliction T-shirt.  I hear the ladies just go crazy for a middle-aged guy in one of those provided that middle-aged guy is rich. This is where some money could be made.  "Cro Cop" is very beatable alter now and Kongo has some great skills when he decides to get aggressive and use them.  The problem is that both men are so unpredictable and "Cro Cop" usually does come up against strikers. I've heard Kongo running off at the mouth about his wrestling skills of late but it sounds like bravado to me.  comfort. I can definitely see Kongo catching "Cro Cop" early on if he comes right at him.  Trying to hang back and counter-strike against the Croatian is a bad idea but no one ever accused Kongo of having the greatest strategical object. My pick: Kongo.  If it were someone else's money or if I just had more of it to spare. I'd put a hundred down on Kongo in a second.  Then again there's a reason I'm not dipping into my savings to bet against "Cro Cop" who can be vicious when he wants to be. Honestly. I'm a little surprised that Hamill isn't a bigger underdog in this one.  The guy's a good wrestler but have we seen him do anything else very well?  Bisping is a end fighter.  You're not going to battle your way to a decision over him and that's pretty much Hamill's strategy every time out. The only reason this contend is even happening is because Hamill had the good (or bad?) sense to label Bisping out publicly a few months back.  That added to the little bit of bad blood between them on the reality show combined with Bisping being an obvious displace for an event in the U. K. is how this ended up on the card. Bisping needs to fight some tougher competition and I think he will after this one is over.  It's just too bad Thierry Sokoudjou isn't in the UFC because that would be an interesting match.  In the meantime. Bisping vs. Arona anyone? Assuming Alexander's gritty performance against Keith Jardine (who has now been demoted to "The Guidance Counselor of Mean") wasn't just a radiate in the pan he should handle the striker Sakara fairly easily. While I like Sakara - mainly for his awesome ancient Roman tattoos but also for his skillful striking - I can't understand why he doesn't seem to undergo a sense of urgency about learning the ground game.  Dean Lister submitted him faster than he used to submit me when I trained at Fabio Santos' (then again. Dean is too nice a guy to beat the hell out of beginners) and Drew McFedries made similarly bunco work of him in a very winnable bout for "Legionarius". Do you change surface compassionate?  Seriously?  Fine.  But here's a word of advice: when the UFC brings in a guy nicknamed the "The Irish Hand Grenade" to fight on a separate in the U. K. it's not so he can lose.  Not unless he's fighting a Brit that is. P. S. Nobody tell the London crowd that Davis is really from Bangor. Maine.  Not unless you want to see them start a rampage and turn over a bunch of funny-looking British cars and weird red telephone booths.  On back up thought go ahead and tell them.

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